Energy Literacy Advocates (ELA) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public education organization working to improve the energy literacy of all sectors of our democracy.

Energy Literacy Advocates Newsroom

Energy Literacy Advocates (ELA) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public education and advocacy group dedicated to improving the energy literacy of all sectors of our democracy in order to empower a comprehensive national energy policy that is responsible and sustainable. Stay tuned for updated energy news!


Thursday, September 24, 2009

Electric Companies to Convert Fleets


FPL Group Inc and Duke Energy, two of America's largest electricity providers, committeed to switch all company vehicles to plug-in hybrids or all-electric models. The change will take effect January 1, 2010.


Between the two companies, 10,000 vehicles will be switched out. The companies touted lower fuel costs and decreased emissions as driving reasons behind the change.


For more on this story, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:31 AM 0 comments


Friday, September 11, 2009

Renewable Energy Debate Offers Insights


If trends in California predict national policy trends, then the renewable energy policy debate heating up in that state warrants national attention.


State Democrats are pushing two bills which would mandate that the state have at least thirty percent of its energy supply from renewable resources. Which resources those would be, and how that renewable structure would be built, is the subject of intense debate among the energy industry and environmentalists.


The bills limit the amount of renewable energy that can be source from out of state, limiting state electricity suppliers. Environmentalists have opposed proposed Californian wind and solar farms, limiting renewable development locally. Additionally, an estimated $115 billion in transmission lines and investment may be necessary to allow access to renewable power.


While California legislators continue the debate, Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger supports an increase in renewable standards.


For more on this debate, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:23 PM 0 comments


Thursday, July 9, 2009

Nuclear Included in New Energy Profile


Obama administration officials endorsed the revival of America's nuclear industry during hearings on the American Clean Energy and Security Act. The acceptance of expanded nuclear use was seen as key to gaining Republican and "Rust Belt" Democratic support for the energy bill.


Proposals include opening up to 100 new nuclear plants by 2030.


Energy Secretary Steven Chu openly supported nuclear technology, citing it as key to reaching a low carbon future.


To read more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:12 AM 0 comments


Friday, June 26, 2009

American Clean Energy and Security Act Gets Boost from President


President Barack Obama urged the House to pass the American Clean Energy and Security Act (ACES). A vote is expected today.


ACES packages renewable energy standards together with climate legislation, including the introduction of a cap and trade system for greenhouse gas emissions. Obama urged support for the bill not only to amend climate change, but also to promote jobs in the renewable energy sector.


To listen to the President's comments, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:30 AM 0 comments


Monday, June 22, 2009

Budget Office Releases Controversial Energy Bill Costs


The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its findings late Friday for costs per household under HR 2454, the comprehensive energy package under consideration in the House of Representatives.

The CBO calculated average cost to be $175 per household per year. To calculate these expenses, CBO evaluated only the cap and trade legislation portions. Costs will be higher for wealthier households, based on a net cost of $22 billion.

Critics have cited the CBO's estimates as overly optimistic. The costs calculate expenses for only part of the bill, and count benefits like free permits to offset costs. Without these provisions, total cost may reach beyond $110 billion in 2020, or $890 annually per household.

HR 2454 is expected to be put up for full debate in the House by July.

To read more about this issue in The New York Times, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 1:32 PM 0 comments


Thursday, June 18, 2009

Energy Secretary Pushes Climate Bill


U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu today urged Congress to pass existing climate legislation, and avoid delaying decisions by waiting for more perfect policies to develop down the road.


Chu stressed that he would like to see action on climate change this year.


The existing proposal, passed by the House Energy and Commerce Committee, targets a 17 percent reduction in greenhouse gases by the year 2020.
To read more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:50 AM 0 comments


Monday, June 15, 2009

"Clean" Coal Again in America's Energy Portfolio?

Department of Energy Secretary Stephen Chu signalled a reversal in previous DOE policy today as he announced the government will fund a massive clean coal project, that 18 months ago was cancelled.

The government will offer 2 to 1 funding alongside private investors to create a prototype coal plant which captures the carbon dioxide it produces. Initial government funding estimates are over $1 billion for the joint research effort.

To read an opinion article about this policy reversal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:02 PM 0 comments


Tuesday, June 9, 2009

House Floor Vote Looms for 'Cash for Clunkers' Measure

Under continued endorsement from President Barack Obama, the House is scheduled for a floor vote on its 'Cash for Clunkers' proposal today.

Two similar versions of this legislation exist in the House and Senate, and most predict that some form of compromise bill will pass Congress before fall. Debate has centered on whether the bill can provide incentives and stimulus for carmakers while also raising the average mileage performance of America's fleet.

To read the full Associated Press report, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:12 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, May 27, 2009

EIA Releases Extended Energy, Pollution Outlook

The Energy Information Administration released a new report today, stating that world energy consumption is expected to grow by 44 percent over the next two decades as the global economy recovers and expands. This assumes no changes to legislation or international treaties governing emissions.

While substantial growth is expected in the use of renewable energy sources such as hydropower, wind and solar, the EIA maintains that overall growth in demand will require continued reliance on fossil fuels, especially oil and coal.

The biggest increases in energy use will come from economically developing countries such as China and India.

To read more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:37 PM 0 comments


Thursday, May 21, 2009

2008 Data Reveals Record Drop in U.S. Carbon Emissions

The U.S. had a record decline in the amount of climate-changing carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere during 2008. According to data released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the sharpest drop in emissions came in the transportation sector where carbon dioxide pollution fell by 5.2 percent in 2008, by far the largest decline recorded.

Much of this decrease may be attributed to the drop in travel caused by soaring gasoline and diesel costs last summer and the general economic decline later in the year, which added up to a 2.2 percent drop in energy consumption. The largest previous drop in travel related emissions was 1.3 percent in 1991.

Overall, the government reported Wednesday that energy-related carbon dioxide emissions declined by 2.8 percent last year compared to 2007, the largest annual drop since the government began regular reporting of greenhouse gas pollution.

To read more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:26 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, May 13, 2009

House Democrats Seek Party Consensus for American Clean Energy and Security Act

The Associated Press - Democrats have reached a consensus to lower some legislative environmental targets, Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., and Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., announced Tuesday evening, to help secure support for the American Clean Energy and Security Act.

This legislation will have to please both environmental and industry groups and have the support of moderate Democrats on the House Energy Committee.

The bill, which includes "Cash for Clunkers" and other environmental provisions, is slated for a Memorial Day release from Committee. To help ensure its survival, Democrats have lowered targets for renewable energy, will require a smaller reduction by 2020 in the emissions blamed for global warming, and will give away valuable permits to release pollution to electricity distribution companies and auto manufacturers.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:29 AM 0 comments


Monday, May 11, 2009

Energy Legislation Draft Possible This Week

The New York Times - Democratic aides hinted that initial consensus points on energy and climate legislation from the House Subcommittee on Energy and Environment may be released today. The subcommittee, chaired by Henry Waxman (D-CA) is aiming for a legislative draft deadline on Friday.

The subcomittee has pledged to maintain its Memorial Day deadline for release.

While agreement exists over provisions like "Cash for Clunkers," dissension remains over climate policy. Lawmakers have focused on four critical areas: targets and timetables for domestic cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, distribution of valuable emission allowances; use of offsets to ease industrial compliance costs; and a nationwide renewable electricity standard.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:33 AM 0 comments


Friday, April 24, 2009

Weighing the Cost of Proposed Energy Legislation

The Associated Press - Electricity providers warned Thursday that consumers will face higher electricity prices if Congress passes a global warming bill without giving utilities some allowances to emit greenhouse gases.

These higher prices would come as the result of proposed cap and trade legislation, currently under consideration in Congress. The proposed plan puts a price on the gases linked to global warming, and establishes a paid permit system for emissions.

While energy providers proposed that initial permits be offered free of charge, the president's budget assumes that allowances will be sold and uses the projected $650 billion in revenue to help people pay for higher energy costs and to develop new, more climate friendly energy sources.

"It should not be legislation that is designed to raise revenue. ... It should be something that is trying to achieve its objective of reducing carbon emissions in the country and that alone," said Glenn English, CEO of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, which represents 42 million consumers in 47 states.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:48 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Iconic Empire State Building to "Go Green"

Immortalized in "King Kong" and listed among the wonders of the modern world, the Empire State Building is now going "green."

The building is beginning a $500 million renovation, with $100 million specifically aimed at making it more energy efficient. In all, the project is expected to save about $4.4 million a year on energy.

Project coordinators aim to make the famous skyscraper, once the tallest in the world, a model of energy efficiency and conservation.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:55 AM 0 comments


Thursday, April 2, 2009

New Google Tool Maps Out Renewable Energy Conflict

Grants from Google, and collaboration with the National Audubon Society and Natural Resources Defense Council, have created a new mapping tool that aims to smooth conflicts over renewable energy site development.

The tool, available on Google Earth, shows renewable-power developers areas which are amenable or not recommended by pulling together maps of endangered species habitats, national parks and other forms of protected land. Areas not recommended for development are highlighted.

Find the new ecological Google Earth mapping tool at www.nrdc.org/PathtoGreenEnergy.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:31 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Global Warming & Energy Bill Released by House Democrats

The New York Times - House Democrats released a draft bill on March 31, 2009, combining climate change and energy legislation.

Sponsored by Reps. Henry Waxman of California and Ed Markey of Massachusetts, the bill would establish a cap-and-trade program curbing U.S. emissions to 20 percent below 2005 levels by 2020. It also creates a nationwide renewable electricity standard that reaches 25 percent by 2025, new energy efficiency programs and limits on the carbon content of motor fuels, and requires greenhouse gas standards for new heavy duty vehicles and engines.

To read the full article and learn more details about the bill draft, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:46 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Interior Secretary Salazar Reveals Department's Energy Agenda

In an interview with The Associated Press, Interior Department Secretary Ken Salazar called for the creation of "renewable energy zones" to smooth development of offshore wind projects and to spur solar energy development in the Southwest, as well as onshore wind energy in the Great Plains.

Salazar cited offshore wind projects on the Atlantic coast as a key to meeting renewable energy goals in America.

Additionally, Salazar promised to review oil and gas exploration leases on public lands. So far this year, proposed tests to explore oil shale in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming have been sidelined by Interior Department rulings.

To read the full Associate Press release, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:34 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, March 4, 2009

EPA Issues Most Energy Efficient City Rankings

Los Angeles has topped the Environmental Protection Agency's list of most energy-efficient cities for 2008, based upon its number of Energy Star buildings.

Los Angeles currently has 262 Energy Star ranked buildings. To be awarded the Energy Star designation, buildings must use at least 35% less energy than average buildings and emit 35% less carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

San Francisco came in second in the country. Rounding out the top 10 in 2008 were Houston; Washington; Dallas-Fort Worth; Chicago; Denver; Minneapolis-St. Paul; Atlanta; and Seattle.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:36 AM 0 comments


Monday, February 9, 2009

New Chair of House Energy Subcommittee Reveals Policy Goals

Houston Chronicle - Opening CERAWeek, the Cambridge Energy Research Associates' energy industry conference, luncheon keynote speaker U.S. Rep. Edward Markey (D-Mass) and new chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and the Environment revealed his energy policy outlooks.

Citing staunch agreement with T. Boone Pickens, Markey is well-known as a champion for tougher vehicle fuel efficiency standards, a foe of nuclear power plants and has called for less generous royalty terms for oil production on federal lands. He has also supported a windfall tax for oil companies since the 1980s.

While Markey focused on energy-related parts of Congress’ economic stimulus package at CERA, he also indicated that massive climate change law is expected out of his committee this spring.

To read the full article and hear more about Markey and proposed energy policy, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 11:29 AM 0 comments


Monday, January 26, 2009

Executive Order to Allow Tougher Emissions Standards

Washington, D.C. - President Barack Obama is expected today to issue an executive order allowing states to administer more stringent automotive emissions and fuel efficiency standards.

The ruling will effect 14 states, including California. California has been mired in attempts to raise emissions and efficiency standards for several years, a move that the Environmental Protection Agency rejected, as it was an alteration from the federal standard. Obama’s presidential memorandum is expected to reverse this stance.

Beyond acting on the California emissions law, officials predict that Obama will direct the Transportation Department to finalize interim nationwide regulations requiring the automobile industry to increase fuel efficiency standards to comply with a 2007 law.

To read the full article in the New York Times, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:20 AM 0 comments


Friday, January 23, 2009

Energy Attachment to Stimulus Bill Clears House Panel

$54 billion in funds for environmental energy projets received its first approval from a U.S. House panel. The panel approved spending an estimated $54 billion in economic stimulus funds for projects, including improving the transmission of wind-generated electricity and expanding conservation projects.

Other measures, like spending for power lines, efficiency projects, and a program to insulate low-income homes, are also included. Additionally, the measure would provide $8.4 billion in renewable energy loan guarantees, renewing and extending some existing programs.

The energy provision is a portion of the $825 billion economic stimulus measure. The broader legislation includes $550 billion in new government spending and $275 billion in tax cuts.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:25 AM 0 comments


Friday, January 16, 2009

Nominee Salazar Touts Energy Agenda as Secretary of the Interior

Senator Ken Salazar (D-Colo.), nominated by President-elect Barack Obama to lead the Interior Department, appeared before a Senate committee yesterday for his confirmation hearing. Among his plans for the branch are a more intensive focus on energy issues.

Salazar emphasized the need for a balanced yet innovative approach to energy issues, promising to consider numerous options for energy independence, including offshore oil drilling and, under the right conditions, oil shale development on government lands.

While offering moderation on points like offshore drilling, Salazar emphasized his aggressive stance on energy independence for America. Renewable energy development -- a cause he championed as senator -- remains a main goal for Salazar, who also promised a balanced approach to energy and land-use policy.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:29 AM 0 comments


Thursday, November 13, 2008

International Energy Agency Releases World Energy Report

November 12, 2008

The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its 2008 World Energy Report. The Report stressed that world energy systems face a crossroads, and must combat patently unsustainable behaviors. Despite the recent economic downturns which have lessened demand on oil, the Report states that "Oil is the world’s vital source of energy and will remain so for many years to come, even under the most optimistic of assumptions about the pace of development
and deployment of alternative technology."

Given the world's reliance on oil, the IEA calls for radical and coordinated policy action from national and international authorities in order to both decarbonize energy sources while speeding up the transition to alternative energy forms. The IEA promoted increasing financial incentives and regulatory frameworks, and removing existing conventional energy subsidies, as viable policy paths. The Report stresses that any policy choice must support both energy-security andclimate-policy goals in an integrated way.

While the IEA holds that world oil has yet to reach a peak, the fact that oil field declines are accelerating should prompt government actors, despite the fall in oil prices, to continue aggressively investing in alternative energy paths.

To read the IEA World Energy Report, and access other IEA materials, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:48 AM 0 comments


Friday, May 30, 2008

Tipping Point for Consciousness is Economic

Is sheer market economics dictating the recent surge in hybrid and compact flourescent light bulb purchases? The U.S. is at a "tipping point," with people beginning to factor energy use into everyday decisions, says Lee Schipper in The Wall Street Journal. Schipper, who has studied energy consumption for decades, declares the driver isn't ecology, bur rather "Sadly, it's economics. No pain, no gain."

Columnist Jeffrey Ball attributes Europe's energy consumption patterns - where the average resident consumes less than half as much oil each year as the average American - to high energy taxes, rather than environmental awareness. These economic penalties make conservation rational and not just virtuous.

For the full text of this article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:51 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Winds of Change: Corporations Lend Names to Wind Farms

In this New York Times article, a new trend in corporate branding is revealed - companies rushing to provide their names and funds to wind farms. Businesses from John Deere to Steelcase furniture are investing both in construction and energy credits from these farms, hoping to reap the profits both from alternative energy and a responsible corporate image.

For the full article on this green corporate trend, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:30 PM 0 comments


Friday, March 14, 2008

EPA Expands Diesel Emission Standards

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) revealed stronger than anticipated diesel emission standards today from Houston, Texas. Applicable to trains and shipping, the EPA's action matches those emission guidelines already applicable to large diesel trucks and buses, and for construction, mining and agricultural equipment.

This article further describes the EPA's new standards, which aim to aid communities in achieving better ozone standards.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:17 AM 0 comments


Thursday, February 7, 2008

What Washington Can Learn From Montana

The article below, from Time magazine, does a wonderful job of framing 1) how the mountain west region is more vulnerable to energy price spikes and climate change, 2) how the mountain west can play an integral (and profitable) role in a new energy future, and 3) how states might provide a "prototype" environment for new energy policies prior to their adoption by the federal government.

Read the article here.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 3:47 PM 0 comments


Thursday, January 31, 2008

Biofuels May Threaten Environment, UN Warns

There has been a lot of talk lately about the environmental impact of biofuel production from a food and water supply standpoint, not to mention the impacts of changing over land use patterns to accommodate biofuel crops. All points are worthy of serious discussion, and while biofuels will likely play a role in our future energy mix it must be implemented carefully to ensure the environmental impact is positive. For the US a good example of this would be growing cellulosic crops on otherwise unused arid land in the great plains region. This could be done without irrigation and with little or no fertilizer used. The catch - how to transport either the biomass or the processed fuel to consumers.

Read the article here.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 6:09 AM 0 comments


Thursday, January 3, 2008

Environmental Field Guide to the Presidential Candidates

While not in the same fancy table format as in the magazine (subscribers see page 124 of the November 12th edition of Time Magazine), here is a roundup of the environmental positions of the presidential candidates as provided by Time (view the original article here):


Friday, Nov. 02, 2007
The Eco Vote
By Jeffrey Kluger
The most remarkable thing about the environmental debates taking place in this year's presidential campaign is that they're occurring at all. Once the stuff of a few hug-the-planet bromides in green states like Vermont and Oregon, the environment is one of the hot topics of the 2008 campaign. Yes, there are some candidates who haven't gotten the message (witness Fred Thompson's loopy joke that global warming is taking place on Mars and Jupiter too). But for voters shopping for a green Prez, it's all at once a buyer's market. Here's how the Big Six candidates shape up.

[Energy Literacy note - Each candidate provides their views on each of the following categories, in this order: 1)Carbon Caps, 2)Energy Efficiency, 3)Mileage, 4)Nuclear Energy, 5)Drilling]

HILLARY CLINTON
1) Supports cap-and-trade, allowing businesses to swap carbon credits. Seeks an 80% carbon cut by 2050
2) Seeks a 10% reduction in national energy use by 2020. Wants new federal buildings to be “zero emission” by 2030
3) Calls for raising gas-mileage (CAFE) standards to 35 m.p.g. within 10 years. Will use administrative power if Congress declines to act
4) Has not taken a strong position on nuclear power; calls herself “agnostic” on the topic
5) Has opposed drilling in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) and in the Atlantic

JOHN EDWARDS
1) Supports cap-and-trade beginning in 2010 and 80% reduction in carbon output by 2050
2) Wants 15% cut in energy use by 2018. Seeks efficiency standards for federal buildings and vehicles
3) Wants 40-m.p.g. national average to be achieved by 2016. Proposes $1 billion per year fund to stimulate innovations in fuel efficiency
4) Opposes expanded use of nuclear power. Worries about safety
5) Opposes drilling in ANWR and offshore. Voted against both while in the Senate

RUDY GIULIANI
1) Acknowledges global warming but rejects cap-and-trade. Has not proposed any specific carbon-reduction targets
2) Broadly approves of alternative-energy sources and improved efficiency, but has no specific proposals
3) Hasn’t called for specific changes in auto-mileage requirements. Not seen as likely to do so
4) Supports increased use of nuclear energy. His private firm has conducted security work for the nuclear industry
5) Supports drilling in the Gulf of Mexico as well as in ANWR. Has received heavy campaign contributions from oil and gas industries

JOHN MCCAIN
1) Co-sponsor of Senate cap-and-trade bill; seen as a bipartisan leader on the issue. Wants 65% reduction in carbon by 2050
2) Generally supports increased energy efficiency but has not announced specific targets
3) Calls generally for raising CAFE standards. In past has advocated 35 m.p.g.
4) Supports expanded use of nuclear energy. Advocates including it as part of a broad mix of nonpetroleum power sources
5) Opposes drilling in ANWR. Has consistently voted against it despite party pressure favoring expanded exploration

MITT ROMNEY
1) Would consider cap-and-trade only if part of a larger global plan
2) Generally supports improved efficiency but does not address the issue regularly and offers no targets
3) Would not support mileage goals as a stand-alone measure. Would consider them only if they were part of a comprehensive energy plan
4) Supports more use of nuclear power as part of energy mix
5) Supports drilling in ANWR and offshore and stresses the point in video on his campaign website

BARACK OBAMA
1) Supports cap-and-trade legislation and calls for an 80% carbon reduction by 2050
2) Stresses innovation as a means to improve efficiency. Calls for a 50% improvement by 2030
3) Has alternately called for 50 m.p.g. within 18 years or 1-m.p.g.-improvement per year rule. To ease transition, wants tax credits for automakers
4) Is willing to explore expanded use of nuclear power. Not an enthusiast
5) Opposes ANWR drilling. Missed 2007 Senate vote on drilling off the coast of Virginia

Conclusion
So who's the greenest in this red-blue scrum? For the GOP, it's McCain. For the Dems, a toss-up. But beyond the Big Six, there's a surprise seventh: Bill Richardson. The New Mexico Guv sets higher targets than the rest: a 90% cut in carbon by 2050; 50 m.p.g. by 2020. He would also slash oil imports 85% by 2025. Being a second-tier candidate may free him to take chances. Among green voters, that's a way to make it to the top tier.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 2:38 PM 0 comments


Friday, December 14, 2007

U.N. report: Urgent action needed on 'severe' climate change

While climate change facts and figures are much harder to nail down due to their subjective nature, hundreds of the world's best scientists have joined together to draw reasonable conclusions on the subject. The results are clear - climate change is occuring and human activity is most certainly the cause.

"Climate change is 'severe and so sweeping that only urgent, global action' can head it off, a United Nations scientific panel said in a report on global warming issued Saturday. The report produced by the Nobel prize-winning panel warns of the devastating impact for developing countries and the threat of species extinction posed by the climate crisis."

Read the full article here.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 7:42 AM 0 comments


Thursday, September 27, 2007

Carbon's New Math

For those confused about the scientific facts behind climate change this article offers a good primer. It also touches on possible solutions...

________________________________________________________
The CO2 from fossil fuels lingers in the atmosphere, so global warming can't be undone. But catastrophe can still be averted.
By Bill McKibben
National Geographic Magazine, October 2007
http://magma.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/2007-10/carbon-crisis/carbon-crisis.html


Here's how it works. Before the industrial revolution, the Earth's atmosphere contained about 280 parts per million of carbon dioxide. That was a good amount–"good" defined as "what we were used to." Since the molecular structure of carbon dioxide traps heat near the planet's surface that would otherwise radiate back out to space, civilization grew up in a world whose thermostat was set by that number. It equated to a global average temperature of about 57 degrees Fahrenheit (about 14 degrees Celsius), which in turn equated to all the places we built our cities, all the crops we learned to grow and eat, all the water supplies we learned to depend on, even the passage of the seasons that, at higher latitudes, set our psychological calendars.

Once we started burning coal and gas and oil to power our lives, that 280 number started to rise. When we began measuring in the late 1950s, it had already reached the 315 level. Now it's at 380, and increasing by roughly two parts per million annually. That doesn't sound like very much, but it turns out that the extra heat that CO2 traps, a couple of watts per square meter of the Earth's surface, is enough to warm the planet considerably. We've raised the temperature more than a degree Fahrenheit (0.56 degrees Celsius) already. It's impossible to precisely predict the consequences of any further increase in CO2 in the atmosphere. But the warming we've seen so far has started almost everything frozen on Earth to melting; it has changed seasons and rainfall patterns; it's set the sea to rising.

No matter what we do now, that warming will increase some–there's a lag time before the heat fully plays out in the atmosphere. That is, we can't stop global warming. Our task is less inspiring: to contain the damage, to keep things from getting out of control. And even that is not easy. For one thing, until recently there's been no clear data suggesting the point where catastrophe looms. Now we're getting a better picture–the past couple of years have seen a series of reports indicating that 450 parts per million CO2 is a threshold we'd be wise to respect. Beyond that point, scientists believe future centuries will likely face the melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets and a subsequent rise in sea level of giant proportion. Four hundred fifty parts per million is still a best guess (and it doesn't include the witches' brew of other, lesser, greenhouse gases like methane and nitrous oxide). But it will serve as a target of sorts for the world to aim at. A target that's moving, fast. If concentrations keep increasing by two parts per million per year, we're only three and a half decades away.




So the math isn't complicated–but that doesn't mean it isn't intimidating. So far only the Europeans and Japanese have even begun to trim their carbon emissions, and they may not meet their own modest targets. Meanwhile, U.S. carbon emissions, a quarter of the world's total, continue to rise steadily–earlier this year we told the United Nations we'd be producing 20 percent more carbon in 2020 than we had in 2000. China and India are suddenly starting to produce huge quantities of CO2 as well. On a per capita basis (which is really the only sensible way to think about the morality of the situation), they aren't anywhere close to American figures, but their populations are so huge, and their economic growth so rapid, that they make the prospect of a worldwide decline in emissions seem much more daunting. The Chinese are currently building a coal-fired power plant every week or so. That's a lot of carbon.

Everyone involved knows what the basic outlines of a deal that could avert catastrophe would look like: rapid, sustained, and dramatic cuts in emissions by the technologically advanced countries, coupled with large-scale technology transfer to China, India, and the rest of the developing world so that they can power up their emerging economies without burning up their coal. Everyone knows the big questions, too: Are such rapid cuts even possible? Do we have the political will to make them and to extend them overseas?

The first question–is it even possible?–is usually addressed by fixating on some single new technology (hydrogen! ethanol!) and imagining it will solve our troubles. But the scale of the problem means we'll need many strategies. Three years ago a Princeton team made one of the best assessments of the possibilities. Stephen Pacala and Robert Socolow published a paper in Science detailing 15 stabilization wedges"–changes big enough to really matter, and for which the technology was already available or clearly on the horizon. Most people have heard of some of them: more fuel-efficient cars, better-built homes, wind turbines, biofuels like ethanol. Others are newer and less sure: plans for building coal-fired power plants that can separate carbon from the exhaust so it can be "sequestered" underground. (See Illustration "How to Cut Emissions.")

These approaches have one thing in common: They're more difficult than simply burning fossil fuel. They force us to realize that we've already had our magic fuel and that what comes next will be more expensive and more difficult. The price tag for the global transition will be in the trillions of dollars. Of course, along the way it will create myriad new jobs, and when it's complete, it may be a much more elegant system. (Once you've built the windmill, the wind is free; you don't need to guard it against terrorists or build a massive army to control the countries from which it blows.) And since we're wasting so much energy now, some of the first tasks would be relatively easy. If we replaced every incandescent bulb that burned out in the next decade anyplace in the world with a compact fluorescent, we'd make an impressive start on one of the 15 wedges. But in that same decade we'd need to build 400,000 large wind turbines–clearly possible, but only with real commitment. We'd need to follow the lead of Germany and Japan and seriously subsidize rooftop solar panels; we'd need to get most of the world's farmers plowing their fields less, to build back the carbon their soils have lost. We'd need to do everything all at once.

As precedents for such collective effort, people sometimes point to the Manhattan Project to build a nuclear weapon or the Apollo Program to put a man on the moon. But those analogies don't really work. They demanded the intense concentration of money and intelligence on a single small niche in our technosphere. Now we need almost the opposite: a commitment to take what we already know how to do and somehow spread it into every corner of our economies, and indeed our most basic activities. It's as if NASA's goal had been to put all of us on the moon.

Not all the answers are technological, of course–maybe not even most of them. Many of the paths to stabilization run straight through our daily lives, and in every case they will demand difficult changes. Air travel is one of the fastest growing sources of carbon emissions around the world, for instance, but even many of us who are noble about changing lightbulbs and happy to drive hybrid cars chafe at the thought of not jetting around the country or the world. By now we're used to ordering take-out food from every corner of the world every night of our lives–according to one study, the average bite of food has traveled nearly 1,500 miles (2,414 kilometers) before it reaches an American's lips, which means it's been marinated in (crude) oil. We drive alone, because it's more convenient than adjusting our schedules for public transit. We build ever bigger homes even as our family sizes shrink, and we watch ever bigger TVs, and–well, enough said. We need to figure out how to change those habits.

Probably the only way that will happen is if fossil fuel costs us considerably more. All the schemes to cut carbon emissions–the so-called cap-and-trade systems, for instance, that would let businesses bid for permission to emit–are ways to make coal and gas and oil progressively more expensive, and thus to change the direction in which economic gravity pulls when it applies to energy. If what we paid for a gallon of gas reflected even a portion of its huge environmental cost, we'd be driving small cars to the train station, just like the Europeans. And we'd be riding bikes when the sun shone.

The most straightforward way to raise the price would be a tax on carbon. But that's not easy. Since everyone needs to use fuel, it would be regressive–you'd have to figure out how to keep from hurting poor people unduly. And we'd need to be grown-up enough to have a real conversation about taxes–say, about switching away from taxes on things we like (employment) to taxes on things we hate (global warming). That may be too much to ask for–but if it is, then what chance is there we'll be able to take on the even more difficult task of persuading the Chinese, the Indians, and all who are lined up behind them to forgo a coal-powered future in favor of something more manageable? We know it's possible–earlier this year a UN panel estimated that the total cost for the energy transition, once all the pluses and minuses were netted out, would be just over 0.1 percent of the world's economy each year for the next quarter century. A small price to pay.

In the end, global warming presents the greatest test we humans have yet faced. Are we ready to change, in dramatic and prolonged ways, in order to offer a workable future to subsequent generations and diverse forms of life? If we are, new technologies and new habits offer some promise. But only if we move quickly and decisively–and with a maturity we've rarely shown as a society or a species. It's our coming-of-age moment, and there are no certainties or guarantees. Only a window of possibility, closing fast but still ajar enough to let in some hope.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 8:56 AM 0 comments

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