Energy Literacy Advocates (ELA) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public education organization working to improve the energy literacy of all sectors of our democracy.

Energy Literacy Advocates Newsroom

Energy Literacy Advocates (ELA) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public education and advocacy group dedicated to improving the energy literacy of all sectors of our democracy in order to empower a comprehensive national energy policy that is responsible and sustainable. Stay tuned for updated energy news!


Monday, October 19, 2009

A New Lowest Price Set for Oil?

As oil rises for the third week in a row, and gasoline prices jump against historical trends, have we established a new floor for oil prices?

Industry and economic analysts predict that $70 a barrel is the new "bargain price" on oil. Lower than that, and oil producers can't fund exploration and development. Oil companies slash dividends. Taxes from governments and exploration constrictions raise new project costs. Oil wells are capped. Economically, the $20 a barrel price of oil, which reigned in the 1990s, is a thing of the past.

Adding to the new floor is the need to replace declining production in established oil fields. 3.5 million barrels a day of new production is needed annually to offset the loss in production from old fields.

For more on this story in The New York Times, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 4:38 PM 0 comments


Monday, October 12, 2009

Let the diesel invasion begin!


Diesel engines - to the average American consumer, those two words conjure up smoke-filled tailpipe emissions and deafening noise. But in Europe, diesel engines have long been a major part of efforts to gain more miles per gallon while reducing emissions. That technology has been steadily slipping in to the USA.


Diesels and diesel-hybrids may play a large role as we strive to make our vehicles more efficient and cut down on pollution. They offer great advantages - utilizing proven technology allowing a car to perform while still conserving fuel. Diesels also extend the lifespan of a vehicle, meaning that cars become less disposable, while the diesel engine is much more adaptable to renewable and biofuels, making it a possible transfer platform as fuels change.
The diesel engine - greener than you may think.


To learn more about diesels, check this out.



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posted by Amanda Voss at 5:59 PM 0 comments


Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Saudi Minister Touts $75 As Optimal Price for Oil


As oil prices continue their market fluctuations, Saudi oil-minister Ali al-Naimi highlighted $75 as the best price for oil. According to al-Naimi, $75 earns oil producers enough profits to keep up supply, while being just high enough to encourage continued alternative fuel development and investment.


Whether $75 represents the perfect median price is debatable, but the 1970s demonstrate that once pain at the pump dissipates, consumers return back to the norm. While the price Americans pay for gasoline has returned once again to "acceptable" levels, the question for us is whether or not we've learned our lesson. Will inexpensive fuel derail continued investment in alternatives, or have we put the blinders back on? If the blinders are back on, history warns that our inflexible demand for oil will be tested again.


For more on al-Naimi in the New York Times, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:11 PM 0 comments


Monday, September 21, 2009

Federal Reserve Meeting Alters Oil Prices


Energy prices fell sharply in the face of the G-20 Economic Summit in Pittsburgh, and a US Federal Reserve meeting. The Federal Reserve will determine whether to remove certain economic props put in place at the end of 2008.


Domestic fuel demand has dropped in America since the beginning of the recession, while China reported an unexpected drop in demand last month.


Other energy data reinforces the drop in energy demand: US oil stockpiles are up, and heating oil reserves are at a 27 year high.


For more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:47 PM 0 comments


Thursday, September 10, 2009

Oil Production to Remain Steady; Global Demand May Raise


Joint statements will impact American energy and the oil markets, as today OPEC agreed to maintain current levels of oil supply while the International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its global demand forecast.


IEA based its increased predictions on strong growth in the Chinese demand, with above average demand from the US market. This demand has helped keep oil at or above $70 a barrel, and drove a 62 percent increase in the price of oil this year.


Based on demand data, OPEC, which supplies roughly 40 percent of the world's oil, has pledged not to cut supply over the next few months.


For more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:09 PM 1 comments


Friday, September 4, 2009

Oil Prices Drop due to OPEC, Economy


On the news that OPEC will maintain their current supply levels, oil neared an eight-week low in price. Additional details on US unemployment kept prices lower. The price of oil, per barrel, is predicted to close at, or lower than, $68.


OPEC, which supplies 40 percent of the world's oil, is scheduled to meet September 9 in Vienna. OPEC has orchestrated over 70 percent of the supply cuts this year, but is not predicted to cut supply at its upcoming meeting.


An additional factor dropping the price of oil is the end of the summer driving season in the US.


For more details, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:02 PM 0 comments


Monday, August 17, 2009

Oil Prices Remain Steady Despite Storm

The storms racing into United States territory have not raised oil prices, despite affecting Gulf of Mexico oil operations. Gulf productions account for a quarter of all domestic oil production.

Supplies of oil remain high, while demand is low, which has kept prices down. US inventory is 20 percent above levels last year.

For more data, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 7:01 PM 0 comments


Thursday, August 13, 2009

US Demand for Gasoline is Down

The Department of Energy reports that US demand for gasoline is down 8.2%, as compared to this time last year. Overall the DOE report predicted a 2.7% decline in demand for oil.

The price of oil, which has stabilized around $70 per barrel, fell slightly after government reports showing continued loss of jobs and lower than expected retail sales. However, many analysts forecast that oil will be a prime commodity as the economy revives, and its price could jump quickly.

For more analysis, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 12:45 PM 0 comments


Monday, July 13, 2009

Prices Drop, Stockpiles Up for Oil

Crude oil prices continue to fall, due to growing stockpiles and declining demand. Oil prices touched $58 today in trading, down from the $73 high a month ago.

Near future prices will hinge primarily on economic reports, including inflation and consumer confidence indexes.

A further factor in the price of oil are attacks on Nigerian production areas by domestic opposition forces.

For a more full economic synopsis, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 11:55 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Oil Prices Reveal Mixed Data


As oil prices have risen to new highs for 2009, above $70 a barrel, Energy Information Administration data also revealed that stockpiles are growing.



Prices rose due to attacks at Nigerian oil facilities. At the same time, U.S. petroleum stockpiles grew by 2.1 million barrels.




Oil prices continue to mirror economic and political uncertainties worldwide.




For a more in depth study on oil prices and oil data in The Wall Street Journal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:09 AM 0 comments


Thursday, June 25, 2009

Oil Price Bubble Could Strike Again


During joint talks between the European Union (EU) and OPEC, officials warned that another oil price spike could threaten economic recovery.


OPEC is calling for greater transparency and regulation, particularly in the global economic market, to prevent another price bubble.


Oil is currently trading at $68 dollars per barrel, far below the record of $150 set last year.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:26 AM 0 comments


Thursday, May 28, 2009

OPEC Confident of Demand Recovery

Bloomberg - At the conclusion of the most recent Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) summit in Vienna, OPEC ministers decide to leave production quotas unchanged, as optimism rises over expectations of recovering demand.

Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi stated that“prices are good, the market is in good shape,” and that this fact lead the group not to alter its target outputs.

Mike Wittner, head of oil market research at Societe Generale SA in London, felt the most significant development of the conference was the forecast of demand recovery, occuring currently, in the Middle East, Asia and Latin America.

The OPEC decision precedes the U.S. Energy Department's release on oil data today. General trends point towards declining oil stockpiles, which indicate growing demand.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 11:12 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Amidst Rocky Market, EIA Releases Oil Forecast

Demand for oil has fallen to 2004 levels, according to Energy Information Administration (EIA)numbers. The EIA has revised down in its demand predictions for the U.S. in 2009, as well as its output numbers from OPEC.

While numbers might be falling, China appears on the EIA's radar with growing demand forecasted, even for the economic downturn of 2009. Based upon China's recent purchases, oil rose above $60 a barrel - a six month high - in the markets on Tuesday.

To read a full analysis in The Wall Street Journal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:46 AM 0 comments


Friday, May 8, 2009

Price of Oil Rises to 6-Month High

The Wall Street Journal - Oil prices rose above $58 Friday afternoon, fueled largely by optimistic economic news and jobs outlooks. The price represents a 6 month high.

Also bolstering oil prices is speculation over what actions OPEC will take May 28 in Vienna. OPEC may agree to cut oil output at its May 28 meeting, but analysts doubt such a move will be made, given the recent strength in oil prices and the still-fragile global economy. A huge glut in inventory - especially in the U.S., where crude stockpiles are at a 19-year high - might argue for such a move, but the near 80% jump in prices from the year's low in January argues against it.

The rise in price parallels historical annual trends, where gasoline prices usually peak during the months of May and June.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 1:28 PM 0 comments


Friday, May 1, 2009

Price of Oil Posts Gains to Five Week High

Bloomberg - The price of oil climbed to above $51 on reports that consumer confidence is improving. The price represents a five week high for the commodity.

Additional promising numbers, including a brighter outlook for manufacturing and growth in China's economy, further bolstered the price of oil. The rise in oil is positive news for OPEC, which meets to review output numbers on May 28 in Vienna.

Keeping a lid on oil price, however, is the news that U.S. supplies rose to the highest level since 1990, while consumer fuel demand dropped.

To access the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 4:46 PM 0 comments


Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Asia Ministers, OPEC Discuss Energy Spending

According to Bloomberg, members from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will meet with delegates from Japan, China, and India this week to discuss reviving energy spending.

This meeting comes on the heels of the latest IEA report, issued April 10, citing that global oil supplies will be "severely constrained by today’s lower prices and lower investment."

While OPEC wants Asia, which the IEA estimates will account for more than half the increase in world energy demand between 2006 and 2030, to commit to using oil in the years ahead, Asian delegates warn that their countries may move to cheaper alternatives, especially nuclear power, if OPEC won’t contain future prices.

To read the full article in Bloomberg, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:52 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, April 14, 2009

A New Oil Peak: The Peak of Consumption?

In an energy climate dominated with talk of peaking supply, industry analysts are newly predicting something many economists have not focused on - a peak in demand.

According to the Wall Street Journal, among those forecasting that U.S. consumption of gasoline has peaked are executives at the world's biggest publicly traded oil company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, as well as many private analysts and government energy forecasters.

This forecast, if correct, signals a profound transformation from America's gas-guzzling history. Results could be dramatic; not only for the companies that refine gasoline from crude oil but also for state and federal budgets and for consumers. Much of contemporary America, from the design of its cities to its tax code and its foreign policy, is predicated on a growing thirst for gasoline.

Reasons fueling the drop in consumption include the economic downturn, changes in the way Americans live and the transportation they choose, and a growing emphasis on alternative fuels.

To read the full article in the Wall Street Journal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:27 AM 0 comments


Monday, April 13, 2009

IEA Releases New Demand Forecast

Oil prices dropped back below $50 a barrel in Monday's trading, as investors reacted to slipping stock markets and an International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast for a drop in global crude demand.

The IEA is an energy policy adviser comprised of 28 countries. The organization said Friday that demand this year will likely fall by 2.4 million barrels a day to 83.4 million barrels, or 2.8 percent lower than last year.

"In other words, the IEA lowered its estimate the equivalent of the daily output of Iraq," analyst and trader Stephen Schork said in his daily Schork Report. While the percentage seems minor, markets reacted to the new forecast, sending the price of oil down.

To read the full Associated Press report, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:29 AM 0 comments


Thursday, March 26, 2009

Some Investors Predict Oncoming Energy Price Surge

The New York Times is forecasting that investors are laying the groundwork for a dramatic upsurge in the energy and commodities markets, in spite of signs suggesting the overall economy is still deteriorating.

While demand is down, many oil analysts predict that the oil price has bottomed out.

The data "suggest the market balance between supply and demand is tighter than it was a year ago when we were trading $110 a barrel," Citigroup energy analyst Tim Evans said. "Over the longer cycle, I don't like to bet against OPEC."

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 4:33 PM 0 comments


Friday, March 20, 2009

Oil Prices Surge, Fall As Week Ends

Despite reaching a high in trading not seen since December, at the close of markets Thursday, oil declined in trading this morning on news that the dollar was strengthening against the euro.

Increasing U.S. stockpiles of oil also drove oil prices down.

Oil continues to reflect the volatility of the market, and the economic downturn. Market speculations on oil prices are currently being gauged against predicted timeframes for national and worldwide economic recovery, contents of national oil stockpiles, and consumer and industrial demand.

To read today's market analysis for oil commodities in Bloomberg, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 7:11 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Fight Over U.S. Offshore Drilling Renews

The New York Times is reporting today that debates over upholding the lift on offshore drilling have reignited.

As the Obama administration outlines its energy plans, it is caught between oil companies, who are reminding the president of his campaign pledge to allow some drilling offshore, and environmental groups, who are demanding a reinstatement of the drilling ban that Congress lifted in September.

Obama's administration has demonstrated both stances towards the issue. Since taking office, it has scrapped Bush administration rulings that would have opened up vast new areas for offshore drilling well into the next decade. Conversely, the administration allowed the Interior Department today to move forward with a long-planned auction of leases in the Gulf of Mexico that includes 4.2 million acres that had been off limits since 1988.

With America importing 60% of its daily needs, the discussion will ultimately center around the role of domestic supplies in the energy economy.

To read the full article in The New York Times, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 7:50 AM 0 comments


Monday, March 16, 2009

Saudi Oil Minister Advocates the Critical State of Fossil Fuels

Monday, March 16 - Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi emphasized today, that "Given their massive scale, non-renewables will remain the world's energy workhorse for many decades to come."

These comments came after the latest OPEC meeting, where members agreed to hold production steady, given the tenuous state of the world economy.

In extolling the continued need for, and reliance upon, fossil fuels, Naimi additionally accentuated the issue of lagging technology in alternative fuels. "... there is no excuse to pin our hopes only on alternatives which today are just supplemental energies," he said. "Our immediate focus, then, must be to make fossil fuels cleaner and more efficient."

To read the full article in Reuters, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:31 AM 0 comments


Friday, March 13, 2009

IEA Lowers Forecast Again

From the Associated Press -

"The International Energy Agency on Friday lowered its estimate for global oil demand in 2009 as the crisis curbs demand in the United States, Russia and China.

The agency said demand would drop for a second consecutive year for the first time since 1982-1983.

In its closely watched monthly survey, the IEA cut its forecast for demand this year by 270,000 barrels a day to 84.4 million barrels a day — 1.5 percent lower than a year earlier.
The Paris-based agency said demand for oil last year was estimated to have slid 0.4 percent to 85.7 million barrels a day.

The IEA said that "the eventual resumption of global demand growth will largely depend upon much stronger economic performance than is currently the case" among the world's biggest energy consumers, and that the latest indicators are "not encouraging."

Members of OPEC have responded to lower demand by cutting output.
The IEA estimates that global oil supply fell in February to 83.9 million barrels a day, down 1 million barrels a day from January and down 3.4 million barrels a day from a year earlier."

To access the link to this article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:53 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Markets Eye Weight of OPEC Cuts

The Associated Press - The weight of promised supply cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on price is debatable, based upon market reactions. Many experts predict that oil will sink to $30 per barrel, given dire economic predictions.

Trading today hovers at $40 per barrel. According to the Associated Press, a report Tuesday by the American Petroleum Institute, the industry's trade association, is expected to show that oil stocks rose to 2.9 million barrels last week, according to the average of estimates in a survey of analysts by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos. The U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration reports its inventory data on Wednesday. The data is expected to show that US crude inventories rose by 2.5 million barrels in the week ending January 30, according to a Thomson Reuters poll of analysts.

Oil stocks have grown more than 20 million barrels in the last four weeks, evidence the nation's worst recession in more than 25 years may be deepening. Refiners are buying much less crude with demand for their products like gasoline falling. That has led to rising gas prices even with the price of oil near five-year lows.

To read the full Associated Press article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:16 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Oil Prices Rise on Stimulus News

The Associated Press - NEW YORK (AP) — Oil prices rose Wednesday despite another government report showing that U.S. crude stockpiles are growing as consumers and business slash spending on energy.

Traders on the New York Mercantile Exchange instead looked to Washington, where the House was expected to approve an $816 billion economic stimulus plan that could help jump-start the ailing economy.

Supporters of the massive stimulus bill say it would create up to 4 million jobs. The bill, which includes roughly $550 billion in spending and $275 billion in tax cuts, could be signed by President Barack Obama by mid-February. If so, it would lead to more energy spending by manufacturers as they ramp up production, and perhaps millions of Americans who have lost jobs since last year.

To read the full AP News Release, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 3:36 PM 0 comments


Monday, January 19, 2009

Sign of the Times: UAE Takes a Green Stance

Despite oil falling to $35 a barrel on continued forecasts of a depressed world wide economy, oil rich states in the Middle East are investing in more green energy.

According to the Associate Press, the United Arab Emirates are making strong pledges toward renewable energy use. The head of a green-energy project in Abu Dhabi says the oil-rich emirate plans to generate 7 percent of its energy needs from renewable sources by 2020.

Sultan al-Jaber says the initiative will create a renewable energy market worth $6 billion to $8 billion in Abu Dhabi.

Most, if not all, of the energy will come from solar power, another official involved with the project says.

To read the Associated Press release, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:23 AM 0 comments


Thursday, January 15, 2009

Predicting Oil Futures

New York Times - The atmosphere of uncertainty for 2009 is mirrored by what has happened to oil. During 2008, oil prices fluctuated erratically, recording the most volatility since 1990, when Iran invaded Kuwait. Now, many in industry are stumped over what the futre holds for oil.

According to the Times, "The problem for the companies is not just that prices are lower, but that they have become volatile — historically, a sign of an unstable market whose direction is uncertain. Between Christmas and a week ago oil prices soared 40 percent, only to reverse course almost as sharply in recent days. Just last week, the price of a barrel of crude oil dropped by nearly 12 percent in one day alone."

New trends - unimaginable from the first half of 2008, when suppliers were trying to keep up with demand - include a boom in land and sea storage for excess oil. Investment in new drilling and oil exploration has halted.

To read more about predicitions for oil in 2009, and to access the full Times story, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:48 AM 0 comments


Thursday, January 8, 2009

Venezuela Signals Compliance with OPEC Regulations

In a move designated to demonstrate support of the latest OPEC rulings on supply cuts, Venezuela cut sales to the U.S., China and Europe.

Venezuela, the biggest oil exporter in the Americas, is making the reductions as part of an agreement to cut 189,000 barrels under the OPEC deal reached Dec. 17 in Algeria to arrest a slide in prices.

To read the full article in Bloomberg, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:45 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, January 6, 2009

The Lost Generation: Are the Big Three Automakers Failing to Capture New Audience Share?

In an article issued January 5, Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais argue that Detroit has lost the confidence of the Millenial Generation, and therefore faces a stark future.

Attributing the bulk of that lost confidence to the failure of "The Big Three" to innovate and deliver alternative fuel and high efficiency products, the authors postulate that "To secure Millenials’ support, however, the domestic automobile industry needs to be seen as a contributor in ending America’s dependence on foreign oil and improving our environment. Not only would such an approach assure the industry’s future profitability, it would also remake its image in a way that will appeal to both their future customers and the politicians they support."

To access the article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:10 AM 0 comments


Monday, January 5, 2009

China, U.S. Racing to Stockpile Oil

Both the U.S. and Chinese governments are expanding efforts to stockpile oil while low prices persist in the markets. The U.S. Department of Energy announced Friday, January 2, that the U.S. would aim to fill its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to capacity this year.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the Chinese are not far behind. China recently completed a four-base strategic reserve complex, and plans to add 102 million barrels of oil during its first acquisition phase. When nonstate oil distributors and refiners are added into the picture, China may boast a total of a billion gallons of idle storage capacity.

While U.S. acquisitions are not expected to have a drastic impact on oil prices, industry experts are watching Chinese purchases carefully.

To read the full article in the Wall Street Journal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 7:48 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, December 30, 2008

A View from the Other Side: Energy in the Tehran Times

December 30, 2008 - The Tehran Times, Iran's leading international paper, posted its own synopsis of oil prices, the energy market, and the world's future energy outlook. We have posted excerpts below, and have included a link to the full text of the article, in English.

In response to the negative effects of low oil prices, the article reported, "Moreover, lower oil prices are likely to impede the massive investment needed to meet rising demand by 2030, delay introduction of energy-saving technologies, and make alternative fuels less competitive. The tight credit environment will also make it more difficult for energy firms to obtain the necessary funding for financing the capital-intensive growth in production capacity, especially necessary for expensive and difficult offshore production, exploration and development, and heavy oil, oil sands, or oil shale production."

The article also discusses the growing threat of energy nationalism, the future supply crunch, and the sleeping giants of China and India.

To read the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:48 AM 0 comments


Thursday, December 18, 2008

OPEC Confirms Predicted Cuts; Oil Production Slashed by 2.2 Million

December 17, 2008 - Effective January 1, 2009, OPEC producers have agreed to slash oil production by 2.2 million barrels. While the move was expected to boost oil futures, the price of oil remains below $40 a barrel. Some doubt remains in the markets about whether OPEC members will adhere to such strict cuts.

When questioned about the cuts, OPEC cited the need to preserve oil prices so as to maintain medium- and long-term energy supply goals and investments.

The 2.2 million barrel per day production cut represents the largest cut in OPEC history. OPEC controls roughly 40 percent of the world's oil.

To read the full synopsis from the Wall Street Journal, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:24 AM 0 comments


Monday, December 15, 2008

Price of Oil Rises as OPEC Confirms "Sizable Cuts"

December 15, 2008 - Crude oil surged past $50 in trading upon remarks by OPEC’s Secretary-General Abdalla El-Badri. El-Badri opened up the December 17 OPEC meeting agenda, stating the group would make "sizable cuts" in production, and would ask for collaboration in these cuts from Russia.

OPEC pumps 42 percent of the world’s oil, and is projected to lower output targets by at least 2 million barrels a day, or 7.3 percent at the meeting Dec. 17 in Oran. Analysts expect Russia to be asked to cut production by 200,000 to 300,000 barrels per day.

Reflecting the uncertainty of the markets, oil, which lost 70% of its value from July, has gained 13 percent in the previous week, its biggest five-day gain in four years, on speculation production cuts will revive prices.

To access the full article in Bloomberg, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:23 AM 0 comments


Friday, December 12, 2008

Thwarting the U.S. Oil Addiction: Falling Gas Prices & Consumer Behavior

December 11, 2008 - Could a fundamental change in U.S. domestic transportation habits already be under way? In reports released Thursday, December 10, the U.S. Department of Transportation stated that Americans drove 100 billion fewer miles between November 2007 and October 2008. Despite falling gas prices, miles driven fell 3.5 percent in October 2008 as compared to October 2007, according to preliminary figures.

This is positive news in the face of dire reports fearing low gas prices would bring about America's return to inefficient SUVs and high gasoline consumption.

Falling gas prices still concern industry experts, who fear a 1970's repeat, wherein alternative fuels and technologies were abandoned after the drop in price at the pump. President-elect Barack Obama emphasized these concerns in his November 60 Minutes interview, stating that despite the drop in price, the urgency to diversify energy sources and provide a more stable supply remains.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:58 AM 0 comments


Thursday, December 11, 2008

International Energy Agency Predicts Continued Demand Drop for Oil

December 11, 2008 - The Wall Street Journal reports that International Energy Agency (IEA) predicted Thursday, in London, that world crude-oil demand would officially enter its own recession, with oil consumption contracting for the first time in 25 years because of the deterioration in global economic activity. The last time demand for oil contracted was in 1983.

Other indicators bolster the IEA's forecast: spare production capacity among OPEC is currently at a six-year high, and the world's leading oil consumer - the US - is posting record demand declines only predicted to continue in 2009.

To access the full Wall Street Journal article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 9:02 AM 0 comments


Friday, December 5, 2008

Oil & the Economy: Prices Continue to Fall

December 5, 2008 - On news that U.S. employers cut 533,000 jobs in November - the most since December, 1974 - oil plummeted to below $42 a barrel. Oil has lost $5 over the past five days.

As the economic woes dragging oil prices down are not likely to rebound quickly, OPEC is indicating that they will cut production levels at the scheduled December 17 meeting.

To read more about falling oil prices, and to track 2008 NYMEX valuations of crude oil, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 10:39 AM 0 comments


Thursday, December 4, 2008

China Eyes Fuel Price Reform, Gasoline Tax

December 4, 2008 - China plans to implement a variety of energy policy changes, beginning in January 2009. Proposed changes include the addition of a retail fuel sales tax and the adjustment of fuel prices to reflect the drop in oil on the world's markets. The Chinese government currently sets the price for oil within the country.

Ten years ago, China first proposed a fuel tax to raise revenue for road and infrastructure maintenance. Officials cite the new fuel tax as a measure to encourage resource conservation.

The Chinese government hopes a reduction in fuel prices will stimulate economic activity.

To read the full story, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 1:16 PM 0 comments


Thursday, November 13, 2008

International Energy Agency Releases World Energy Report

November 12, 2008

The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its 2008 World Energy Report. The Report stressed that world energy systems face a crossroads, and must combat patently unsustainable behaviors. Despite the recent economic downturns which have lessened demand on oil, the Report states that "Oil is the world’s vital source of energy and will remain so for many years to come, even under the most optimistic of assumptions about the pace of development
and deployment of alternative technology."

Given the world's reliance on oil, the IEA calls for radical and coordinated policy action from national and international authorities in order to both decarbonize energy sources while speeding up the transition to alternative energy forms. The IEA promoted increasing financial incentives and regulatory frameworks, and removing existing conventional energy subsidies, as viable policy paths. The Report stresses that any policy choice must support both energy-security andclimate-policy goals in an integrated way.

While the IEA holds that world oil has yet to reach a peak, the fact that oil field declines are accelerating should prompt government actors, despite the fall in oil prices, to continue aggressively investing in alternative energy paths.

To read the IEA World Energy Report, and access other IEA materials, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:48 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Americans Ditching the Car

It looks as though the inelasticity of gasoline prices is finally giving way to increased conservation by the American public, as evidenced by the article below:


Americans ditching the car

By Kenneth Musante and Aaron Smith, CNNMoney.com staff writers

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Americans drove 9.6 billion fewer miles in May compared with a year earlier, according to a report Monday from the Federal Highway Administration.
"We have seen the longest decline in vehicular miles traveled since we started collecting this data," said U.S. Transportation Secretary Mary E. Peters in a conference call with reporters.
Peters said that in the first four months of this year, Americans traveled 40.5 billion miles less compared with the same period in 2007. She said the decline in usage means less tax revenue for highway system.
Many of these commuters are flocking to trains, buses and bikes, or telecommuting from home.
Rising gas prices are to blame for the driving decline, and the use of public transportation is soaring, said Virginia Miller, spokeswoman for the American Public Transit Association, a private trade group.
"It does seem that we are on track to beat last year's record [public transportation] ridership," she said, noting that the 2007 tally of 10.3 billion public transit trips was a 50-year high.
"That can really only be explained by the large increase in gas prices," said Miller.
Gasoline prices soared in May, rising for 24 consecutive days in the month, and breaking the psychologically significant $4-a-gallon barrier in many states, according to data from motorist group AAA.
The FHA said that driving in May experienced the third-largest monthly drop since the agency, a division of the U.S. Department of Transportation that manages the nation's highways and bridges, began collecting data 66 years ago. It was the largest drop for any May, a month that usually sees driving increase due to the Memorial Day holiday, the agency said. Three of those largest monthly declines have occurred since December, as unusually high fuel prices take a toll on drivers.
Trains, buses, bikes, telecommuting
Many of these drivers switched to public transportation. Usage jumped in the first three months of the year by 88 million trips from a year ago, for a total of 2.6 billion, according to the most recent figures available from the APTA.
Some of the most dramatic increases occurred in the light rail systems in Baltimore, Minneapolis and St. Louis, the commuter rails of Seattle and Harrisburg, Penn., the buses of San Antonio and Denver, and the subways and elevated rails of and Boston.
The Boston Globe reported Monday that the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority broke a ridership record of 375 million passengers in fiscal year 2008, which is 21 million more than the prior year.
Other commuters, like Eric Creese, a senior database administrator in Eagan, Minn., switched to muscle power for commuting. Creese, a former triathloner, said that high gas prices inspired him to "get back" into biking.
"I asked myself, 'Why drive 150 miles a week when I can save my car, my money and do something good for my body and environment,?'" said Creese, who said he has biked 1,000 miles to work since May and saved about $250 in gas.
Now Creese runs a Web site - GasFreeCommute.com - for bike commuters, with calculators to estimate calories burned and gasoline saved. His co-workers have logged their miles on his site, totaling 5,400 so far.
And if commuters really want to save money, they'll stay at home, said Chuck Wilsker, president and co-founder of The Telework Coalition. Wilsker estimates the nationwide tally of telecommuters to increase by 4 or 5 million workers this year, from an estimated 28 million at the start of 2008.
"If you want to quickly reduce your commuting costs by 20%, leave your car at home one day a week; if you want to reduce your costs by 40%, leave your car at home two days," said Wilsker, who telecommutes from his suburban Maryland home to Washington, D.C.
Not only does Wilsker save on gas, but he said he saves on automotive wear and tear, lunch and dry cleaning.
"You know what I'm wearing?" said Wilsker. "I'm wearing shorts, sandals and a tank top. I'm sitting here working from home. My dry cleaning bill is none."
Feds get squeezed on taxes
As high fuel costs led many to rely on other forms of transportation, such as mass transit, and to cut back their miles on the road this year, the reduced driving also sliced tax revenue that would normally go toward highway maintenance, the FHA said.
The federal tax on gas generates 18.4 cents per gallon of regular gas sold and 24.4 cents per gallon for diesel fuel, which gets pumped in to the federal Highway Trust Fund. Some states also add a tax of their own to fund various projects.
The FHA budget totaled $42.18 billion in fiscal year 2008. The Bush Administration has requested $40.14 billion for fiscal year 2009.
As Americans drive less, new ways are needed to fund the national road system, the highway agency said. Even though fewer drivers are using the highways, funding is still critical, party because of a backlog in highway projects.
Peters said she would unveil a new plan on Tuesday to "fundamentally reform our nation's transportation." She said much of the plan will focus on calculating a better cost-benefit analysis for maintaining the national highway system, as well as "weaning ourselves from the gas tax over time."
First Published: July 28, 2008: 9:45 AM EDT



Find this article at: http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/28/news/economy/driving/index.htm?cnn=yes

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posted by Jamie Lang at 12:01 PM 0 comments


Friday, May 30, 2008

Tipping Point for Consciousness is Economic

Is sheer market economics dictating the recent surge in hybrid and compact flourescent light bulb purchases? The U.S. is at a "tipping point," with people beginning to factor energy use into everyday decisions, says Lee Schipper in The Wall Street Journal. Schipper, who has studied energy consumption for decades, declares the driver isn't ecology, bur rather "Sadly, it's economics. No pain, no gain."

Columnist Jeffrey Ball attributes Europe's energy consumption patterns - where the average resident consumes less than half as much oil each year as the average American - to high energy taxes, rather than environmental awareness. These economic penalties make conservation rational and not just virtuous.

For the full text of this article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:51 AM 0 comments


Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Continued Rise in Oil Prices

Tuesday, May 20 - On Wall Street the price of oil hit $130 per barrel amidst market fears of inflation and supply concerns.

Amidst these concerns, Goldman Sachs issued a forecast that crude will reach $135 a barrel in the third quarter of 2008 and rise to $145 in the fourth quarter. While Saudi Arabia announced that they would increase production by 300,000 barrels a day (b/d) to 9.45 million b/d during June in order meet demand from US customers and President Bush, under pressure from a vote in Congress, halted additions to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, these measures are widely dismissed as too little to affect prices.

For the full article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 1:19 PM 0 comments


Monday, May 19, 2008

Michael Klare's New Energy Order

"Oil at $110 a barrel. Gasoline at $3.35 (or more) per gallon. Diesel fuel at $4 per gallon. Independent truckers forced off the road. Home heating oil rising to unconscionable price levels. Jet fuel so expensive that three low-cost airlines stopped flying in the past few weeks. This is just a taste of the latest energy news, signaling a profound change in how all of us, in this country and around the world, are going to live - trends that, so far as anyone can predict, will only become more pronounced as energy supplies dwindle and the global struggle over their allocation intensifies."

So begins Michael Klare's article chronicling the end of the energy world as we know it. Klare identifies intense competition over energy sources among economic powers, insufficiency of existing energy supplies, the delay in developing alternative energy sources, migration of wealth and power to energy-rich nations and a growing risk of conflict as factors shaping our new energy reality.

For the full text of this article, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 4:10 PM 0 comments


Thursday, April 10, 2008

Oil Prices Hit Historic High

Oil prices set a new record high during trading on Wednesday, April 9, topping out at $112 per barrel. Rising oil prices can not turn to OPEC for alleviation, as producers maintained their decision to cap production at current levels.

Additionally, the larger than anticipated fall in U.S. crude and gasoline inventories coupled with the declining value of the dollar spurred oil trading on to a record high.

For more, click here.

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posted by Amanda Voss at 8:49 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Mileage at top of car buying list

There are at least some signs that consumers are beginning to change their car buying habits based on the higher cost of gasoline. While the tipping point may yet be to come, at least attitudes are acknowledging the higher cost of fuel.

Read the article.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 2:54 PM 0 comments


Friday, March 7, 2008

Americans Start to Curb Their Thirst for Gasoline

Finally we are beginning to see the answer to a long asked question - when will American's gasoline consumption start to decrease due to higher prices? While years ago many ecomonists thought prices above $2 per gallon would do the trick, our growth in consumption has slowed, but not halted - until now.

Read the article.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 12:00 PM 0 comments


Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Why Oil Price Increases Have Hurt Less

This blog entry at the Wall Street Journal cites data and a possible reason for the economy's ability to absorb the oil price increases we have seen for the last several years. The short answer - a weaker US dollar and solid global economic growth generated export revenues that nearly matched extra amount spent on oil imports.

Read the blog entry here.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 1:44 PM 0 comments


Thursday, January 31, 2008

Poll: Big Expectations for New President

While this article covers several topics, the fact that 69% of Americans believe that the president has control over gasoline prices is significant. This actually may be true over the long term - good public policy could reduce demand for gasoline, and therefore it's price. However have no delusions, any demand abatement would have to be taken on by CONSUMERS, regardless of whether the cause is a shift in public policy. I doubt the 69% cited understand thoroughly that oil (and therefore gasoline) is a fungible commodity traded the world over, so direct control of pricing by the president in our free market system is impossible.

Read the article here.

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posted by Jamie Lang at 5:55 AM 0 comments


Monday, January 7, 2008

Oil at $100 a Barrel? No Sweat

In this recent Fortune magazine article the author sites several individuals who believe the American economy can withstand $100/barrel oil. We have certainly become less energy intensive per unit of GDP (a gauge of economic activity) and have been able to weather the storm of rising oil prices so far. However this article does not address the fact that the increase in oil price was both gradual and demand (rather than supply) driven - two factors we have no historical precendent with.

Read the article...

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posted by Jamie Lang at 10:29 AM 0 comments


Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Oil kicks off year by hitting $100

This article highlights the historically high price of oil reached today, and attempts to identify some of the causes, noting that higher prices may be here to stay...


Oil kicks off year by hitting $100
By Steve Hargreaves, CNNMoney.com staff writer
January 2 2008: 4:23 PM EST
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Oil prices kicked off 2008 by hitting $100 a barrel for the first time Wednesday, with violence in oil-rich Nigeria, the prospect of more interest rate cuts, a halt in Mexican imports and talk of yet another drop in U.S. crude supplies contributing to the milestone.
U.S. crude for February delivery hit $100 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange just after noon ET. It slipped to settle up $3.64 at $99.62, a new end-of-day record. The previous trading record was $99.29, set Nov. 20, while the previous settlement record was $98.18, set Nov. 23.
Oil prices ended 2007 by gaining nearly 60 percent for the year, the largest jump this decade.
"This market is really gonna fly," Ira Eckstein, president of Area International Trading Corp, said from the NYMEX floor.
The White House ruled out opening the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to temporarily relieve prices, and instead called for more domestic production.
In Nigeria, bands of armed men on Tuesday invaded Port Harcourt, the center of the oil industry, attacking two police stations and raiding the lobby of a major hotel, The Associated Press reported. Four policemen, three civilians and six attackers were killed. The Niger Delta Vigilante Movement claimed responsibility for the attack.
At 2.1 million barrels per day, Nigeria was the world's eighth-largest oil exporter in 2006, according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency.
A surprise fall in manufacturing activity sparked fears of yet another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Interest rate cuts generally cause the dollar to fall - and oil prices to rise - as investors bail out of U.S. stocks and bonds and into commodities.
"The perception is that as the U.S. economy continues to weaken, the Fed will cut interest rates one more time," said Nauman Barakat, an energy trader at Macquarie Futures, the trading arm of Macquarie investment bank.
The Associated Press reported that several Mexican ports were closed due to rough weather.
PEMEX, the Mexican state oil company, could not be immediately reached for comment, but reports indicated the ports should be open by Thursday with minimal disruption to crude shipments.
At 1.7 million barrels per day, Mexico is the world's 10th largest exporter of crude and the second largest exporter to the United States behind Canada.
Analysts are expecting the latest government inventory report - set for release Thursday, to show a 1.8 million barrel decline in crude supplies, according to a Dow Jones poll. It would mark the seventh straight week U.S. crude stocks have dropped.
Oil has been on a tear over the last few months - rising from under $70 in August - as OPEC cuts from earlier this year began to eat into inventories in developed counties.
A falling dollar and reports pointing to tightening supplies as strong demand from developing countries swallows up new production gains have also pushed prices higher, as well as attracted a slew of investment money.
Crude has risen over five-fold since the start of 2002, largely for the same reasons.
Adjusted for inflation, oil is at or near the prices of the early 1980s. At that time, following the Iranian revolution and the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq war, oil traded in the high $30-a-barrel range, the equivalent of between $92 and around $103 a barrel in current prices, depending on the contract cited and the inflation calculation used.
Retail gasoline prices have not risen as fast as oil prices over the last few months, largely due to weak demand.
But with oil prices so high, gasoline is beginning to catch up. The national average price for a gallon of regular Wednesday was about $3.05 a gallon, a penny less than last month but about 30 percent higher than the same time last year, according to the motorist organization AAA.
"Unfortunately, we also continue to believe that new record high prices will be paid by consumers for gasoline in the year ahead," AAA spokesman Geoff Sundstrom said in a statement.

Original Article Link

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